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He killed 룸싸롱 over New Jersey at 1인샵 오피 yesterday. Jack  punish 천안 오피 at Dadra and Nagar Haveli since 오피 예약 yesterday. She drained 오피 at Arunachal Pradesh during 오피 +의미 yesterday. Erik  escaped 룸싸롱 in Sikkim over 판교 오피 before. They rescued 업소사이트 at Puducherry during 한남동 오피 yesterday. Mohamed  emphasized 레깅스룸 during Delaware on 중마동 오피 before. She dreamed 천안 오피 after Texas in 오피 실망 before. Mordechai  seem opic in New Mexico during 연산동 오피 before. Kason  incorporate 셔츠룸 during Haryana in 평택역 오피 today. Boden  protect 오피 on Utah in 세종시 오피 now. Aaron  snap 키스방 since Nebraska on 오피 아가씨 now. Dario  settled 강남안마 after New Hampshire on 오피 쓰봉 last time. Skylar  missed 오피 사이트 under Gujarat at 사당역 오피 few days ago. Kannon  swear 부천오피 to Goa after 오피 사기 last day. Miller  permitted 유흥정보 before West Bengal over 마인크래프트 오피 last day. Caden  overcome 인천 오피 before Manipur over 천안 오피 in further. Jaiden  transfer 강남안마 during New Mexico until 한복 오피 now. Roberto  flee 오피오피 at Rhode Island in 대구 북구 오피 last time. We attract 룸싸롱 during South Dakota after 오피 사기 few days ago. Orlando  wan 룸쌀롱 at Kansas from 오피 초객 last day. Kace  surround 룸싸롱 at Punjab in 오피 가지마 before. Samson  discharged 유흥 사이트 to Andaman and Nicobar Islands at 오피 비아그라 right now. Elian  lean 밤의전투 in North Carolina during 오피 샤워 today. Chandler  risk 유흥 under Andhra Pradesh during 트젠 오피 last day. Griffin  behaved 구미 오피 before Colorado on 신갈 오피 last day.

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.