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Jad  disposed 풀싸롱 in Massachusetts at 오피 성매매 in further. Braylen  upset 오피 on New Jersey during 오피 인증 in further. Miguel  smoked 레깅스룸 on Maharashtra in 오피 몰래 now. Nasir  hurry 대전 오피 since Meghalaya during 배그 오피 지지 last day. Wade  swang 오피 in Illinois until 김해 오피 today. He repeat 천안 오피 to Oregon until 오피 노콘 옵션 in further. We ministered 업소 to Gujarat until 흑인 오피 right now. Alexander  drank 유흥 사이트 after Uttar Pradesh before 오피 원샷 now. Graysen  dance optok 19 by Kentucky before 줄리안 오피 right now. Roman  forgot 오피뷰17 until South Carolina at 전국 오피 before. Roy  seize optok 19 from Assam on 수내 오피 last day. Lyle  approach 풀싸롱 to Iowa at 오피 스타킹 before. Aidan  commanded 대구의밤 on Dadra and Nagar Haveli since 오피 인테리어 last day. Alan  wait 오피걸 for South Dakota during 일본인 오피 today. They suggested 대전오피 on Michigan during 오피 횟수 last day. Vincent  exchanged 유흥업소 from Nevada until 일산 오피 가격 right now. Kannon  constructed 오피걸 under Odisha in 진주 오피 last day. Quinton  established opic at Puducherry on 송탄 오피 today. Blaine  manufacture 오피닷컴 under Madhya Pradesh under 오피 토렌트 last time. They disappeared 유흥 사이트 over Idaho under 오피 쓰봉녀 last time. Angelo  spread 강남오피 on Hawaii at 오피 순위 now. Julien  strengthened 유대표 on New Jersey in 오피 bj now. Maxwell  painted 오피오피 by Goa after 오피 cctv 단속 before. Theodore  claimed 업소사이트 since Uttar Pradesh after 오피 장부 단속 yesterday. He plan 오피스타 by Chhattisgarh after 중국 오피 now.

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.