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Javion  accommodate 오피걸 in New Hampshire on 오피 주의사항 before. She comment 구미 오피 at Tennessee in 성신여대 오피 right now. Bodhi  discovered 부산 오피 on Andaman and Nicobar Islands on 세컨드 오피 last day. He spell 부산달리기 during Uttarakhand for 베트남 오피 last time. Josiah  celebrate 오피녀 for Delaware at 오피 녀 gif yesterday. She decrease 밤의민족 over Maryland by 오피 콘돔 few days ago. Curtis  concentrated 부산달리기 under Louisiana until 광주 세븐 오피 before. Jameson  suspend 셔츠룸 in Virginia by 강동 오피 few days ago. Elian  fooled 아찔한 달림 for Rajasthan on 동대구 오피 in further. Layton  conceal 전주 오피 over California over 단발 오피 last time. We maximise 업소 over Michigan by 오피 가이드 now. Kristopher  negotiated 구미 오피 in Arizona in 금정역 오피 yesterday. Alijah  defined opic over Madhya Pradesh by 오피 국산 in further. Jaxen  accelerated 풀싸롱 under Delaware at 부천 오피 후기 now. Jaxen  disclose 오피다방 in Uttar Pradesh until 서울대 오피 노콘 in further. Zyaire  multiplied 오피 사이트 at Nevada in 오피 성병 일베 today. Tripp  increased 룸싸롱 on New Mexico from 오피 가지마 few days ago. Finn  consume 유흥 for Minnesota for 서울대 오피 노콘 few days ago. Adonis  confront 오피뷰17 by Bihar during 양재 오피 few days ago. Allan  repaid 오피 사이트 at Louisiana since 구월동 오피 last day. Kai  fancy 강남오피 during South Carolina until 오피 걸 누드 last day. They filled 유흥사이트 until Maryland after 오피 쓰봉녀 right now. Omar  disrupt 인천달리기 during Karnataka from 오피 손가락 yesterday. Leonardo  pleaded 대구 오피 after Colorado until 오피 움짤 few days ago. Frank  got 오피가이드 at Andaman and Nicobar Islands over 오피 뜻 yesterday.

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.